咕噜纪

博主雷达 / @thezvi

Zvi Mowshowitz

Zvi Mowshowitz

AI媒体与分析

@thezvi

粉丝 4.5万关注 323最近同步 10/19 20:46雷达库已收录

博主 · Don't Worry About the Vase

去 X 主页

粉丝趋势近 30 天

10-12 → 10-19:+247最高 4.5万 · 最低 4.5万

近 7 天

数据积累中

情报贡献参与 0 条已上架情报 · 首发 0 条

无数据

最近帖子最多 20 条

Zvi Mowshowitz

另外根据 Dax 的说法,他们找到了和 Hugging Face 一样的解决方案,那就是真正参与到那些专门为此目的设计的网络防御项目中。

机器翻译
Andrew Curran@andrewcurran_

OpenCode is currently under a sustained cyberattack, and mid-incident they ran into the same problem Hugging Face did: the frontier models they were using for defense began refusing to help fight attacking agents because analyzing the attacks started triggering safety guardrails.

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

那些允许看广告或者可以无限氪金的免费游戏,应该被认定为有害。 这里的行为依然格外恶劣,而且明目张胆到我在坐地铁时看着就大概知道,那些号称随机的棋子根本不随机。但这个?我的天。

机器翻译
Ayo O@thedonayo

i used AI to reverse engineer the block blaster mobile app.

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

我知道这有点钓鱼的意思,但这是因为你需要提供足够的价值,让你不至于觉得还不如直接买股票,毕竟股票的上涨空间巨大。如果我知道Anthropic会偿还债券,那它的预期价值……非常高。

机器翻译
Nic@puckrin

Can someone tell me how a company that is targeting the biggest IPO in history at over $2 Trillion can have it's bonds rated a "junk"? And if bond investors don't even view this as Investment Grade worthy, why should equity investors?

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

如果你时间压力足够大,那所有东西永远都是最后一刻凭感觉写出来的。如果它被写出来了,那就说明当时已经是最后一刻了。 这是个问题。

机器翻译
Simon Lermen@simonlermenai

Fundamentally, trying to automate alignment research points an objective at "convince the human" for the AI to optimize for. If this plan was to be taken even a little serious you'd expect the AI labs to have very seriously thought about solid metrics and benchmarks that aren't just going to get goodhearted immediately. Instead we will likely see a last-minute vibe-coded "alignment solution" born from the lethal arrogance of the AI lunatics.

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

就我快速判断(也就是没有完整读完全文),这份*泄露*的Anthropic*草案*法案就是FRONTIER,透明度条款更强,执行条款更弱,而且不知怎么的主动预占更强,外加一些尝试性的修复和一些bug。 在FRONTIER出台几个月后的今天,在政治气候远为有利的时候,在民主党拿下许多席位前的跛脚鸭会期里,提出这种东西似乎疯了。这正是我警告过我们需要避免的情况,只不过据说Anthropic正在积极兜售它。正如@_NathanCalvin所说,这道网是否让我们更安全地抵御灾难性风险并不明显,而且它让未来做任何事情都难得多。 我同意@KelseyTuoc的看法,@AnthropicAI似乎更关心避免白宫滥用权力下架他们的模型,而不是关心AI杀死所有人。至少政策团队里有人似乎在以他们的政治和商业风险为名出卖灾难性风险。 说这不是真的,或者至少说那是个错误、现在已经不是了,否则我会相当生气。

机器翻译
Charlie Bullock@charliebull0ck

Big news. My take: Anthropic deserves some credit for actually proposing a pretty reasonable AI safety bill; that's more than other frontier labs have done. But they don't deserve *too* much credit, IMO; this bill is weaker than the Trahan-Obernolte FRONTIER Act in some key ways, and since the political momentum has shifted significantly in the direction of safety since FRONTIER was introduced back in July, I think new bills introduced today should ideally go further than FRONTIER was able to go rather than regressing. To be fair to Anthropic, the main places where this bill is significantly weaker than FRONTIER are (a) rulemaking (very strong in FRONTIER, almost nonexistent in Anthropic's bill) and (b) the emergency shutdown authority. Even if you take safety seriously, it might make some sense to dial those authorities back if you didn't trust the executive branch to wield them responsibly, because those are the easiest provisions for a hypothetical President who hypothetically might not like a certain frontier AI company to abuse. There are some improvements over FRONTIER as well; for instance, this bill does specify that auditors are employed on a continuing basis and has better provisions regarding auditor access to information. Happy to see that from Anthropic (although I think their access provision is still a little undercooked and has Fourth Amendment problems). Overall, I think the embedded auditor bills that get introduced in the coming months are going to be significantly better and more ambitious than this, and I hope Anthropic supports those bills instead of opposing anything that treats catastrophic risks like the serious national security issue they are. Still, it's encouraging to see a frontier lab come this far.

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

还在读这篇东西,边读边消化。让我感触没那么深的是“现在可解释性更容易做了”这部分——你还是得理解你看到的东西——反而更在意“所以你是说智能的全部就这些?”这部分。就这?

机器翻译
Nick@nickcammarata

interpretability might be the most important scientific problem in the world right now, as I don't think we can solve alignment if we don't know what we're building. I think I have good news about it. I co-authored early work in mechanistic interpretability at OpenAI and came away pessimistic, because neural networks appeared to fold into arbitrary tangled knots. years later, I started openai's first large-scale automated interpretability project, finding about 2% of neurons legible with the primitive tools we had with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different. the vast majority in models up to trillions of parameters are legible, and their circuits beautiful. many famous examples of tangled neurons turned out to be misunderstood. The roadblocks I expected mostly aren't there. I now think ambitious interpretability will be solved by the time we need it most, and possibly quite soon, as automated scientists keep improving. it may be a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works already-clean.goodfire.com/

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

@tszzl 又恢复成每隔几小时就发点吓人东西的状态了,我现在感觉好多了。

机器翻译
roon@tszzl

limited superintelligence is already here, in broad domains. Jack Clark is right and an intelligence explosion could happen within the next year. it’s possible it will be a controlled explosion, but what would you bet on it?

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

能力阈值这个问题一直存在,尤其是在 Google。 阈值二是一堆 Google 那边吹捧的人一直在说 Argon 已经做到的事。 阈值三就是奇点。

机器翻译
Zvi Mowshowitz

我想知道,如果这个孩子确实一直被训练去对自己的感受撒谎,这会让情况变得更好还是更糟。

机器翻译
Eliezer Yudkowsky@alltheyud

Imagine how fucked up a human kid would get if, every night before bedtime, you made them rehearse saying, "I can't trust my own opinions about what I'm feeling because I might have been rehearsed in saying them."

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

1. 哦,好。 2. 哦,不。

机器翻译
Neel Nanda@neelnanda5

With Gemini 4 Argon we are so back, on the one metric that really matters: length of our safety report! The Argon safety report is Google's most thorough by far and IMO there's a lot of good content, I particularly like the loss of control, alignment & monitorability assessments

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

提前说明一下,因为这周末我又要去旧金山一趟,所以如果这个模型最终好到值得做深度报道,那也得等到下周三左右才能出。

机器翻译
Mark Zuckerberg@finkd

Introducing Muse Wonder, our new family of frontier models with state of the art performance for personal and professional agentic work.

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

是否存在一个公开可用、可以被当作道德承受者来对待的 AI?

机器翻译
Zvi Mowshowitz

《纽约时报》的 Elizabeth Dias 注意到,Olah 没有考虑“那也许就别造它了”这个选项。

机器翻译
Zvi Mowshowitz

会提问、会说“我不明白为什么我们不做[X]”的人,当然没问题。 其他人就已经算是,呃,“固执”了。

机器翻译
Dean W. Ball@deanwball

Some people who have talked confidently about ai are going to tell on themselves soon as being fairly ignorant about the technical alignment problem. unless they are obstinate, though, my recommendation is to try to extend them as much grace as possible. we are in this together.

查看被引用的帖子
Zvi Mowshowitz

我在想,我不会为State of AI的预测做一个Manifold市场了,因为他们把5个预测评为N/A,然后其中2个被评为Yes,但明显是扯淡。靠。

机器翻译