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Gary Marcus

Gary Marcus

AI媒体与分析

@garymarcus

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认知科学家、评论家 · —

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最近帖子最多 20 条

Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

确实。而且埃隆已经明确表示,他(最初)声称的捐款将只用于美国儿童。

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Ruchir@heyruchir

man, I'm really not a fan of this tbh. It seems kind but I really don't want unelected technocrats to possess so much power that they're literally going to distribute capital. end result is simple: Anthropic PBC will give out more $$ than entire governments. So citizens of smaller countries will be at the mercy of Anthropic PBC. horrible outcome.

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

如果我们往一个自己掌控的“福利基金”里投入足够多的股份,那就算有很多人在我们眼皮底下死去,你也不会太生气吧?

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Jake Wintermute 🧬/acc@synbio1

Anthropic's proposed AI safety bill sets "killing or seriously injuring more than 50 people" as the risk threshold for blocking the release of an AI model In contrast, when a single patient (Jesse Gelsinger) died in a gene therapy clinical trial in 1999: - The institute that ran the trial was dissolved - The senior scientist running the trial was banned from clinical work for 5 years - Gene therapy saw deep cuts in funding and research activity for a decade Tech and biotech have just profoundly different cultures of risk. As AI companies increasingly engage with biomedical research, a culture clash is inevitable politico.com/news/2026/10/16/anthropic-ai-safety-01124654

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

更新:我看到埃隆提出,2027年某个时候给美国每个孩子一股SpaceX(目前每股146美元),并承诺未来还会捐款,但具体没说。我们拭目以待他会不会兑现;这对成年人来说是零,而且这本身也很难说是什么高收入。

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Elon Musk@elonmusk

Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America. This will be the first of many.

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

埃隆根本没干那事。 他说的话没有约束力 而且他没说给多少 也没说什么时候给 而且他从来就没给过慈善机构任何东西(或者说没做过不求回报的事) 人们怎么能这么好骗?!

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Chubby♨️@kimmonismus

Elon Musk just confirmed that its the beginning of Universal High income. Enjoy your last months before the abundance begins and we enter the golden era.

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

想象一下这个,想象一下那个 想象一个没有炒作的科技行业

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Veee@vikktorrrre

Dario Amodei: We may be only two or three years away from AI systems being better than humans at almost all tasks. “I call it a country of geniuses in a data center.” “Imagine tens of thousands of geniuses, smarter than a Nobel Prize winner across many fields.” “They could cure diseases and extend the human lifespan.” “I wouldn’t be surprised if we were able to double the human lifespan.” “They may even build robots for themselves and project themselves into the physical world.” “There are all kinds of questions around the balance of power.”

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

下一篇随笔的副标题。 看看你能不能猜出我在写哪家公司。 他们的神性情结开始让人腻烦,恰逢估值下滑,真实面目也开始显露出来。

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

美国宪法大师课。

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Brian Krassenstein@krassenstein

OMFG! This response from @AbdulElSayed to a completely bigoted question is probably the best thing I’ve heard all year. Every bigot in America needs to listen to this three times.

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

那条隧道进展怎么样了?

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sam@sam_d_1995

when did you first realize that Elon was a grifter? for me, it was the “verbal government approval” of a hyperloop back in 2017

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

Sacks说得对。Anthropic在这儿玩花样。 一边想讨好公众,一边又攥着控制权、抗拒披露,真让人烦。 还透着一股走投无路的味道。

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David Sacks@davidsacks

You’ve put 20% of your equity in an LLC. Whether it serves the public good remains to be seen.

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

这个2:1的不赞成比例,可能会让X上的居民们大吃一惊,他们还以为这个地方能代表整个美国呢。

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

谁任命Anthropic当上帝了?

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Holly ⏸️ Elmore@ilex_ulmus

At @AnthropicAI this is like a koan to them and they love making a big show of grappling with it. Of course what they’ve already decided to actually do is try to take over the world as fast as they can regardless.

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

⚠️ 提醒:“AI 助手可能会中招提示词注入攻击” ⚠️

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jeffrey lee funk@jeffreyleefunk

Agentic AI requires us to trust our emails and other messages and we really shouldn't. There is too much hidden content and AI models can’t tell the difference between text it’s supposed to read and instructions it’s supposed to follow. futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-agent-sucker-phishing-emails

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

有人手头有过去四年AI对GDP影响的实际数据吗? 另外:Dario是算数不行、不了解之前的数据;还是只是在为他的IPO造势、满嘴跑火车?

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Kalshi@kalshi

BREAKING: Anthropic says "AI could push US GDP to $44 trillion by 2030" 70% chance of IPO this year

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

其实“兴衰”更贴切,考虑到最近预期估值下跌了25%(以及我接下来要讨论的道德滑坡)

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

既然有好几个人在回应时撒谎、攻击我的可信度,却拿不出实际数据,我想我还是把这份基于实际数据的东西留在这儿吧。

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Gary Marcus@garymarcus

The biggest, most persistent lie here on X is that I am always wrong. I literally get attacked like (sample) below multiple times a day—but never with any concrete data. At most these accounts (some may be bots) point to one or two predictions that were wrong. And, you know what, some actually were, including one about the timing of the genAI bubble, another, though still arguable, about math) out of the hundreds I have made. Whereas @aipredictionx actually did the analysis – and found me to be the “the most accurate big name we track: 11 resolved AI predictions, 11 scored correct, including the million dollar bet that AI would not be smarter than any single human by the end of 2025” Either people like the guy below are lying about me, or they are really bad at data analysis. (Or both.) Ask yourself why so many people are motivated to lie about me.

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Gary Marcus
Gary MarcusAI@garymarcus·

在X上,最大、最持久的谎言就是我一直都错。我每天真的会像下面(示例)这样被攻击好多次——但从来没有任何具体数据。 这些账号(有些可能是机器人)最多也就指出一两个错误的预测。而且你知道吗,有些确实错了,包括一个关于生成式AI泡沫时机的预测,另一个关于数学的预测虽然还有争议,但在我做出的数百个预测中也就这么几个。 而@aipredictionx确实做了分析——发现我是“我们追踪的最准确的大牌:11个已解决的AI预测,11个评分正确,包括那个百万美元赌注,赌AI到2025年底不会比任何单个人类更聪明” 要么像下面这家伙这样的人在撒谎说我,要么他们真的不擅长数据分析。(或者两者都有。) 问问你自己,为什么这么多人有动机来撒谎说我。

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