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tae kim

tae kim

AI媒体与分析

@firstadopter

粉丝 10.8万关注 1万最近同步 10/19 20:54雷达库已收录

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  • 其他富士康 iPhone Duo 组装良率仅略高于 60%10/16 21:23

最近帖子最多 20 条

tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

整体数据中心建设数据非常强劲。 Bernstein:“+456 GW 项目储备,9 月环比增长 52 GW,即 13%。超大规模厂商的储备增长了 10.1 GW,其中亚马逊贡献 3.9 GW,谷歌 3.8 GW,Meta 2.4 GW。” “在建。建设规模增长 7 GW(环比 +10%),其中谷歌贡献 2.1 GW,微软破土动工约 1 GW。Colos(1.4 GW)、Neoclouds(1.1 GW)” “搁浅容量。9 月增长 2 GW,较 8 月新增的 7 GW 明显放缓。”

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

美银:我们对苹果官网以及多家运营商网站上iPhone发货日期的追踪显示,截至10月19日,iPhone Duo的全球平均发货时间(按天计)为82天……最新的门店快照显示,iPhone Duo在发售当天(10月23日)门店无货可售。

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

Gemini 4 Argon 在结构上服务成本太高,连 Google 都补贴不起。

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Derya Unutmaz, MD@deryatr_

Gemini 4 Argon weekly usage quotas are really low. I'm on the Ultra plan & still ran out of my weekly quota in less than two days in Antigravity, despite using it 10 times less than GPT-6.1 Sol, mostly at extra high to max! I like Argon a lot, but the limits are very problematic.

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

事后看,Leo又扎堆买入短期看涨期权,这并非好兆头,也不是什么好事,因为它引发了又一波FOMO买盘。

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tae kim@firstadopter

CNBC's David Faber: Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness hedge fund has returned to buying and bought call options "hundreds of millions of dollars worth of premium" late last week and early this week. AMD, BE, CRWV, SK Hynix, SNDK. "Call option buying of some significance" "Leo is back!"

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

对于那些对等待时间感到震惊的人,拜托: 9月29日:“据界面新闻从供应链消息人士处获悉,富士康的iPhone Duo组装良率仅略高于60%。首批产量很小,产线仍需反复调整。 一位消息人士估计,按照苹果目前的标准,良率可能需要六个月到一年才能成熟。这对发货时间有何影响还有待观察,但我们预计会出现严重延迟。” appleinsider.com/articles/26/09/29/making-millions-of-iphone-duos-is-proving-harder-than-apple-hoped

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

我也听说“有些”投资者想为人类历史上最火的IPO少付点钱。疯了吧!

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Wall St Engine@wallstengine

Anthropic pre-IPO perpetual futures on Liquid are still trading at an implied valuation above $1.9T. Despite Reuters reporting that some investors are now weighing a $1.5T IPO valuation, Down from earlier expectations of around $2T.

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

《金融时报》又在制造恐慌了,就跟IPO之前一样。

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tae kim@firstadopter

I still remember The Financial Times writing a bizarre negative story on CoreWeave right before the IPO about some minor legal contract issue that wasn't important. What media focuses on can sometimes drive investor sentiment overly negative in the short term (the opposite can also be true! Hello, Virgin Galactic) $CRWV

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

又一场 Nvidia MGX Power Rack 的分享会,OCP 大会最后一天,全场爆满,连站的地方都没有。进不去。太让人抓狂了

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

Meta:对于10米以内的短距离,光学方案就有点杀鸡用牛刀了。AEC更便宜,功耗也更低

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

🤣

Chris Stokel-Walker@stokel

Anyone who claims Gemini 4 Argon is anywhere near the frontier is spouting bollocks when it cannot dependably pull from Gmail and Google Calendar and put that info together

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

考虑到苹果和Meta过去的敌对关系,这一点值得注意。这可能标志着两家公司合作的新时代。

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John Ternus@johnternus

Congrats to the team! Amazing to run a model of Muse Spark Open's caliber and scale this efficiently, right from your desk. Mac Studio keeps pushing the boundaries of on-device AI!

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

Tae:有人说 AI 现在已经先进到能写 kernel 了,所以 CUDA 的护城河正在缩小,你怎么回应?还有人说 AI 能设计芯片,所以 Nvidia 不再需要自己设计了? Nvidia 的 Ian Buck:首先,我们在内部就是 AI 的重度用户,既用它来开发,也用它来加速我们所有的平台。Nvidia 没有一个团队不用 AI 来写软件、把软件做得更好、更快,写新的 kernel,做新的计算机编译。

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tae kim@firstadopter

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning taekim.substack.com/p/an-interview-with-nvidias-ian-buck-975

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

好消息是,许多最大的多头现在已经大幅降低了净敞口,这让仓位结构变得更好。 AI 的基本面一如既往地强劲。不容置疑。 我们主要需要特朗普与伊朗之间达成某种解决方案,然后我们就可以放心上涨了

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

终于。Cerebras CEO 谈到 GPT-6 Ultrafast 时说:“那边太成功了,以至于 OpenAI 想做的事之一就是,在下一代上大幅扩大规模。而我们当时根本没有足够的产能给他们。” Cerebras 早就该说这话了。这个回答完全合情合理。 及时回应、直截了当、公开透明,是投资者关系的基本要求。我预计市场在这次回应之后会对此表示认可。

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Fireside Alpha@firesidealpha

Cerebras CEO Andrew Feldman reveals OpenAI went with Nvidia for its next generation because its first Cerebras deployment was so successful OpenAI wanted to go vastly wider, and Cerebras just didn’t have the capacity “First, somebody like Sam and Greg, at their level of wealth in 2013, ‘14, ‘15, ‘16, they’re making hundreds and hundreds of angel investments, and they’re doing it at modest amounts, right?" "So I don’t think their position in us moves the dial at all. They did it early, too, in Series A, when the world was different. That’s the first thing." "The second thing is that we won and began deploying GPT-5.6 Sol, and we did that at 750, 800 tokens per second." "There was so much success there that one of the things OpenAI wanted to do was, with the next generation, go vastly wider. And we just didn’t have the capacity for them." "We didn’t have the data centers, and that goes back to your first point. Our deal with them is we put up data centers for them and then put our compute in it and then sell them tokens. And we just didn’t have the capacity.”

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

好。据一位知情人士透露,今天 Anthropic 的会议上既没有讨论 9 月季度的 ARR,也没有讨论全年 ARR 展望。

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tae kim@firstadopter

Can someone else confirm Anthropic said the $110 billion ARR? Thanks. DMs open. Reuters: “The company is expecting a $110 billion annual revenue run rate by the end of the year, another person who attended the event said.”

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tae kim
tae kimAI@firstadopter·

有没有人能再确认一下 Anthropic 说过 1100 亿美元 ARR 这事?谢谢。私信开着。 路透社:“一位同样出席了该活动的人士表示,该公司预计到今年年底年化营收将达到 1100 亿美元。”

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